Storytime

Appliance hunting!

Knock-to-see

Weird interactive stuff

Ethylene scrubbers: love you

Speed ovens: you’re okay

Built-in probes: you’re okay

June Smart Oven: a hot mess

Open burners: marry me

Smart hood: What the fuck?

What is the number one problem with kitchen appliances?

?????

What is the number one problem with kitchen appliances?

wives

fin

Our Future in Food

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

Four views of the future

• A1 Affluent world 🤖
• A2 Full world 🤼
• B1 Vegetarian world 🥒
• B2 Low-Input world 🛏️
• from “The future of food — Scenarios and the effect on natural resource use in agriculture in 2050” by I.Y.R. Odegard, E. van der Voet

Virtual resource content

Land + Water + Fertilizer

Attainable yield

What has technology done for you recently?

Optimistic: 80%

Pessismitic: 20%

Water water everywhere

Cucumber: 42 gallons/lb

Lentils: 704

Beef: 1,800

Almonds: 1,900

Fertilizer

Nitrogen + Phosphorus + Potassium

🤖 The Affluent World 🤖

economy over environment, global over regional

• Population growth: Low - 7.78b
• Economic development: High - ~$30k
• Tech: High + global
• Diet: Western
• Animal-based foods: 26% of diet
• Household waste: Same as USA in 1995
• Feedcrop yields: High
• Foodcrop productivity: 80% closure of yield gap

🤼 The Full World 🤼

economy over environment, regional over global

• Population growth: High - 9.9b
• Economic development: Low - ~$10k
• Tech: Slow + regional
• Diet: Western
• Animal-based foods: 22% of diet
• Household waste: Half of USA in 1995
• Feedcrop yields: Varied, some higher
• Foodcrop productivity: 20% closure of yield gap

🥒 The Vegetarian World 🥒

environment over economy, global over regional

• Population growth: Low - 7.78b
• Economic development: Med-High - ~$20k
• Tech: medium + global
• Diet: Vegetarian
• Animal-based foods: 9% of diet
• Household waste: Half of USA in 1995
• Feedcrop yields: Average
• Foodcrop productivity: 80% closure of yield gap

🛏️ The Low-Input World 🛏️

environment over economy, regional over global

• Population growth: Medium - 9.15b
• Economic development: Medium - ~$15k
• Tech: medium + regional
• Diet: Reduced meat
• Animal-based foods: 17% of diet
• Household waste: Half of USA in 1995
• Feedcrop yields: Average
• Foodcrop productivity: 10% closure of yield gap

Change ourselves or change the world?

Can we/do we technologize ourselves out of our problems?

How much stuff?

Land in 2050

Water in 2050

Fertilizer in 2050 (and beyond)

Phosphorus crisis?

We are fucked

• 🤖 Affluent world water use, fertilizer use
• 🤼 Full world water use, fertilizer use
• 🥒 Vegetarian world life is perfect
• 🛏️ Low-input world land use

2014 vs 2021

Animal-free everythings

Precision fermentation

Precision fermentation

• We can produce…
• collagen and
• gelatin and
• egg protein and
• heme protein and
• milk protein and
• human breast milk protein and so much more!

“By 2030, the US dairy and cattle industry will have collapsed”

By 2030

• Mass-produced protein destroys “real” protein
• Ground beef: 70% decline
• Steak: 30% decline
• Dairy: 90% decline
• Crop farming: 50% decline
• By 2035, 60% of livestock + feed production land will be freed up

“This report would have you believe that in 11 short years we will be living in The Jetsons, with consumers massively adopting industrially developed, untested food-like products on their way to vegan fantasyland. In reality, US dairy is part of the sustainability solution: our greenhouse-gas emissions have fallen in absolute terms since 2005, and we have committed to further reductions.”

• - National Milk Producers Federation
• (North American Meat Institute did not respond to requests for comment)

Everything will go insane

More on the vegan fantasyland paper at rethinkx.com

Lessons learned

Invest in yeast futures

Hug a chicken

We’re fucked